Inflation Tracker

NAA Inflation Tracker: March 2023

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CPI, Latest Release, February 2023    There were no surprises in this month’s CPI release as all measures of inflation came in largely as expected. The headline rate was up 6.0% year-over-year, seasonally adjusted, while the core rate (excluding food and energy) increased 5.5%. The…

NAA Inflation Tracker: February 2023

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CPI, Latest Release, January 2023  Inflation continued its path in the right direction in January, rising 6.3% year-over-year on a seasonally adjusted basis, slightly higher than consensus forecasts. This was the seventh consecutive month of deceleration. On a monthly basis, prices rose 0.5%…

NAA Inflation Tracker: January 2023

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CPI, Latest Release, December 2022   There were no surprises in this month’s CPI report, with most measures matching analysts' expectations. Headline CPI increased 6.4% year-over-year (seasonally adjusted) while price increases excluding food and energy decelerated to 5.7%. Both measures…

NAA Inflation Tracker: December 2022

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CPI, Latest Release, November 2022 Once again, inflation came in lower than consensus forecasts, measuring 7.1% year-over-year and just 0.1% over the month. Core inflation, excluding food and energy, was up 6.0% and 0.2%, its lowest increase since August 2021. In addition to gasoline (down 3.5%),…

November 2022 Inflation Tracker

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CPI, Latest Release, October 2022 Inflation came in lower than expected, rising 7.8% year-over-year, seasonally adjusted. This was the lowest rate of increase since January. On a monthly basis, prices rose 0.4%, matching September’s level. Consumers saw some relief on the food front, with…

NAA Inflation Tracker: October 2022

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CPI, Latest Release, September 2022    Once again, the latest inflation figures were greater than consensus forecasts, with headline CPI increasing 8.2% year-over-year on a seasonally adjusted basis. Core CPI, which excludes volatile food & energy prices and signals underlying,…

NAA Inflation Tracker: September 2022

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CPI, Latest Release, August 2022   Inflation ran higher than the consensus forecast, which called for a slight monthly decline in headline CPI and a 0.3% increase in core CPI. Instead, headline CPI rose 0.1%, despite the continued decline of gas prices; core CPI rose 0.6%, double last…

NAA Inflation Tracker: August 2022

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CPI, Latest Release, July 2022    Inflation surprised in a pleasant way, rising 8.5% year-over-year, below consensus forecasts. Prices were flat on a monthly basis, the best reading since May 2020 when they were actually dropping. The breather in price hikes was due to energy prices,…

NAA Inflation Tracker: July 2022

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CPI, Latest Release, June 2022 Once again, the headline inflation number beat analysts’ expectations, rising 9.1% year-over-year (unadjusted) and 1.3% over the month. Energy prices, up 7.5% since last month, were responsible for nearly half of the increase. Core inflation (excluding food and…

NAA Inflation Tracker: June 2022

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CPI, Latest Release, May 2022    By all measures – headline, core, monthly and annually – the May Consumer Price Index (CPI) came in hotter than expected. Headline CPI increased 8.5% (seasonally adjusted) year-over-year and 1.0% since last month. Not surprising, the energy index was up…